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Identifying cancer cachexia in patients without weight loss information: machine learning approaches to address a real-world challenge

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机构: [1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [2]Institute ofHepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [3]Cancer Center, TheFirst Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, China [4]Department of Medical Oncology, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fujian Medical University CancerHospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, China [5]Department of Comprehensive Oncology, National Cancer Center or Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy ofMedical Sciencesand Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China [6]Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei,China [7]Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, Yunnan, China [8]Department of IntegratedChinese and Western Medicine, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Science (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China [9]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [10]Department of Clinical Nutrition, BeijingShijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [11]Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou,Henan, China [12]Key Laboratory of Cancer Food for Special Medical Purposes (FSMP) for State Market Regulation, Beijing, China
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关键词: cancer cachexia weight loss gastrointestinal symptoms machine learning cohort study

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Diagnosing cancer cachexia relies extensively on the patient-reported historic weight, and failure to accurately recall this information can lead to severe underestimation of cancer cachexia.The present study aimed to develop inexpensive tools to facilitate the identification of cancer cachexia in patients without weight loss information.This multicenter cohort study included 12774 patients with cancer. Cachexia was retrospectively diagnosed using Fearon's framework. Baseline clinical features, excluding weight loss, were modeled to mimic a situation where the patient is unable to recall their weight history. Multiple machine learning (ML) models were trained using 75% of the study cohort to predict cancer cachexia, with the remaining 25% of the cohort used to assess model performance.The study enrolled 6730 males and 6044 females (median age = 57.5 years). Cachexia was diagnosed in 5261 (41.2%) patients and most diagnoses were made based on the weight loss criterion. A 15-variable logistic regression (LR) model mainly comprising cancer types, gastrointestinal symptoms, tumor stage and serum biochemistry indices was selected among the various ML models. The LR model showed good performance for predicting cachexia in the validation data (area under the curve = 0.763, 95% confidence interval=[0.747, 0.780]). The calibration curve of the model demonstrated good agreement between predictions and actual observations (accuracy = 0.714, Kappa = 0.396, sensitivity = 0.580, specificity = 0.808, positive predictive value = 0.679, negative predictive value = 0.733). Subgroup analyses showed that the model was feasible in patients with different cancer types. The model was deployed as an online calculator and a nomogram, and was exported as predictive model markup language to permit flexible, individualized risk calculation.We developed a ML model that can facilitate the identification of cancer cachexia in patients without weight loss information, which might improve decision-making and lead to the development of novel management strategies in cancer care.© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Society for Nutrition.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 营养学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 营养学
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Q1 NUTRITION & DIETETICS
最新[2023]版:
Q1 NUTRITION & DIETETICS

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [2]Institute ofHepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, Southwest Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China
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通讯机构: [9]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [10]Department of Clinical Nutrition, BeijingShijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [12]Key Laboratory of Cancer Food for Special Medical Purposes (FSMP) for State Market Regulation, Beijing, China
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