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A deep learning system for myopia onset prediction and intervention effectiveness evaluation in children

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机构: [1]Shanghai Eye Hosp, Shanghai Eye Dis Prevent & Treatment Ctr, Shanghai Vis Hlth Ctr, Dept Clin Res, Shanghai, Peoples R China [2]Shanghai Children Myopia Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R China [3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Gen Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Eye Dis,Sch Med, Ctr Eye Shanghai Key Lab Ocular Fundus Dis,Shangh, Shanghai, Peoples R China [4]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China [5]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Elect Informat & Elect Engn, MOE Key Lab AI, Shanghai, Peoples R China [6]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Ophthalmol & Visual Sci, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China [7]Shenzhen Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Engn, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Intelligent Informat Proc, Shenzhen, Peoples R China [8]Kunming Med Univ, Calmette Affiliated Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Kunming, Peoples R China [9]Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Expt Ophthalmol, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China [10]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Zhongshan Ophthalm Ctr, State Key Lab Ophthalmol, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [11]Inner Mongolia Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, Peoples R China [12]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Peking Union Med Coll Hosp, Peking Union Med Coll, Dept Ophthalmol, Beijing, Peoples R China [13]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Friendship Hosp Pinggu Campus, Dept Ophthalmol, Beijing, Peoples R China [14]Xinjiang Med Univ, Dept Pathol, Affiliated Hosp 1, Urumqi 830054, Xinjiang, Peoples R China [15]Yunnan Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [16]Univ Sydney, Sch Comp Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia [17]Univ Melbourne, Ctr Eye Res Australia, Ophthalmol, Melbourne, Vic, Australia [18]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Inst Translat Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China [19]Singapore Eye Res Inst, Singapore Natl Eye Ctr, Singapore, Singapore [20]DUKE NUS Ophthalmol & Visual Sci, Singapore, Singapore
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The increasing prevalence of myopia worldwide presents a significant public health challenge. A key strategy to combat myopia is with early detection and prediction in children as such examination allows for effective intervention using readily accessible imaging technique. To this end, we introduced DeepMyopia, an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled decision support system to detect and predict myopia onset and facilitate targeted interventions for children at risk using routine retinal fundus images. Based on deep learning architecture, DeepMyopia had been trained and internally validated on a large cohort of retinal fundus images (n = 1,638,315) and then externally tested on datasets from seven sites in China (n = 22,060). Our results demonstrated robustness of DeepMyopia, with AUCs of 0.908, 0.813, and 0.810 for 1-, 2-, and 3-year myopia onset prediction with the internal test set, and AUCs of 0.796, 0.808, and 0.767 with the external test set. DeepMyopia also effectively stratified children into low- and high-risk groups (p < 0.001) in both test sets. In an emulated randomized controlled trial (eRCT) on the Shanghai outdoor cohort (n = 3303) where DeepMyopia showed effectiveness in myopia prevention compared to NonCyc-based model, with an adjusted relative reduction (ARR) of -17.8%, 95% CI: -29.4%, -6.4%. DeepMyopia-assisted interventions attained quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.53, 1.04) per person and avoided blindness years of 13.54 (95% CI: 9.57, 18.83) per 1 million persons compared to natural lifestyle with no active intervention. Our findings demonstrated DeepMyopia as a reliable and efficient AI-based decision support system for intervention guidance for children.

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 卫生保健与服务 1 区 医学:信息
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Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q1 MEDICAL INFORMATICS

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2024版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2023版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Shanghai Eye Hosp, Shanghai Eye Dis Prevent & Treatment Ctr, Shanghai Vis Hlth Ctr, Dept Clin Res, Shanghai, Peoples R China [2]Shanghai Children Myopia Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R China [3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Gen Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Eye Dis,Sch Med, Ctr Eye Shanghai Key Lab Ocular Fundus Dis,Shangh, Shanghai, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Shanghai Eye Hosp, Shanghai Eye Dis Prevent & Treatment Ctr, Shanghai Vis Hlth Ctr, Dept Clin Res, Shanghai, Peoples R China [2]Shanghai Children Myopia Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R China [3]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Gen Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Eye Dis,Sch Med, Ctr Eye Shanghai Key Lab Ocular Fundus Dis,Shangh, Shanghai, Peoples R China [4]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Comp Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China [5]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Elect Informat & Elect Engn, MOE Key Lab AI, Shanghai, Peoples R China
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