BackgroundComplex interconnections are evident among gut microbiota, circulating metabolites, inflammatory cytokines, and the pathogenesis of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA), with the causal dynamics yet to be comprehensively elucidated. The primary objective of this study was to elucidate the potential causal relationships involving gut microbiota-mediated plasma metabolites, inflammatory cytokines, and AAA.MethodsWe utilized data from genome-wide association studies predominantly comprising individuals of European ancestry, encompassing four major gut microbiota signatures, 233 plasma metabolite signatures (N = 136,016), 91 inflammatory cytokine signatures (N = 14,824), and AAA signatures (N = 1,458,875). Mendelian randomization (MR), employed in a two-sample format, was utilized as a tool to investigate the potential causal pathways from gut microbiota to the development of AAA. Additionally, a two-step MR approach was employed to dissect the impact of plasma metabolites and inflammatory cytokines on the relationship between gut microbiota and AAA and to ascertain the mediated fractions.ResultsOur findings indicate that five phylum or family-identical bacteria, 175 plasma metabolites, and seven inflammatory factors are causally associated with AAA. Among them, five bacterial species from the same phylum or family, identified from different GWAS data, were strongly associated with AAA. Of these, two exhibited negative causality and three exhibited positive causality. We found that the phylum Firmicutes and the families Oscillospiraceae might reduce the risk of AAA, whereas the families Prevotellaceae, Sutterellaceae, and Aminobacteriaceae might increase the risk of AAA. Further screening indicated that phylum Firmicutes id.1672 (GCST90017114) may confer a protective effect against AAA by reducing triglyceride levels in medium/small high-density lipoprotein (HDL).ConclusionMR analysis has delineated a causal pathway from gut microbiota, through plasma circulating metabolites and inflammatory cytokines, to the pathogenesis of AAA. The role of intestinal flora and certain biomarkers may provide a reference for the diagnosis of AAA, and contribute to the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of AAA disease.