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Collateral-Core Ratio as a Novel Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Acute Ischemic Stroke

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机构: [1]Chinese Peoples Liberat Army Gen Hosp, Dept Radiol, Chinese PLA Med Sch, 28 Fuxing Rd, Beijing 100853, Peoples R China [2]Chinese Acad Sci, Innovat Acad Precis Measurement Sci & Technol, Natl Ctr Magnet Resonance Wuhan,State Key Lab Mag, Wuhan Inst Phys & Math,Wuhan Natl Lab Optoelect, Wuhan, Peoples R China [3]Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Yuebei Peoples Hosp, Dept Radiol, Shaoguan, Guangdong, Peoples R China [5]Anshan Changda Hosp, Dept Radiol, Anshan, Liaoning, Peoples R China [6]Shiyan Taihe Hosp, Dept Radiol, Shiyan, Hubei, Peoples R China [7]Qingdao Univ, Dept Radiol, Qingdao Municipal Hosp, Qingdao, Peoples R China [8]WeiFang Tradit Chinese Hosp, Dept Radiol, Weifang, Shandong, Peoples R China [9]Second Hosp Jilin Univ, Dept Radiol, Jilin, Jilin, Peoples R China [10]Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Dept Radiol, Affiliated Hosp 1, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China [11]Kunming Med Univ, Dept Radiol, Affiliated Hosp 1, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [12]Shanxi Prov Peoples Hosp, Dept Radiol, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China [13]Cent South Univ, Dept Radiol, Xiangya Hosp, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China [14]Chinese Peoples Liberat Army Gen Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Beijing, Peoples R China [15]Chinese Peoples Liberat Army Gen Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China [16]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [17]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: Acute ischemic stroke Large vessel occlusion Collateral circulation Prognosis Machine learning

摘要:
The interaction effect between collateral circulation and ischemic core size on stroke outcomes has been highlighted in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, biomarkers that assess the magnitude of this interaction are still lacking. We aimed to present a new imaging marker, the collateral-core ratio (CCR), to quantify the interaction effect between these factors and evaluate its ability to predict functional outcomes using machine learning (ML) in AIS. Patients with AIS caused by anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (LVO) were recruited from a prospective multicenter study. CCR was calculated as collateral perfusion volume/ischemic core volume. Functional outcomes were assessed using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days. An ML model was built and tested with a tenfold cross-validation using nine clinical and four imaging variables with mRS score 3-6 as unfavorable outcomes. Among 129 patients, CCR was identified as the most important variable. The prediction model incorporating clinical factors, ischemic core volume, collateral perfusion volume, and CCR showed better discriminatory power in predicting unfavorable outcomes than the model without CCR (mean C index 0.853 +/- 0.108 versus 0.793 +/- 0.133, P = 0.70; mean net reclassification index 52.7% +/- 32.7%, P < 0.05). When patients were divided into two groups based on their CCR value with a threshold of 0.73, unfavorable outcomes were significantly more prevalent in patients with CCR <= 0.73 than in those with CCR > 0.73. CCR is a robust predictor of functional outcomes, as identified by ML, in patients with acute LVO. The prediction model that incorporated CCR improved the model's ability to identify unfavorable outcomes. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02580097.

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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 临床神经病学 2 区 神经科学
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出版当年[2023]版:
Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q2 NEUROSCIENCES
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Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q2 NEUROSCIENCES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2023版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2022版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Chinese Peoples Liberat Army Gen Hosp, Dept Radiol, Chinese PLA Med Sch, 28 Fuxing Rd, Beijing 100853, Peoples R China
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